The King Laboratory
of Theoretical Ecology & Evolution
at the University of Michigan

Selected Publications.

Click on any citation to view the abstract.

Q. Lin, E. E. Goldberg, T. Leitner, C. Molina-París, A. A. King, and E. O. Romero-Severson (2024) The number and pattern of viral genomic reassortments are not necessarily identifiable from segment trees. Molecular Biology and Evolution 
E. L. Ionides, K. Asfaw, J. Park, and A. A. King (2023) Bagged filters for partially observed interacting systems. Journal of the American Statistical Association 118(542): 1078–1089. 
D. He, L. Lin, Y. Artzy-Randrup, H. Demirhan, B. J. Cowling, and L. Stone (2023) Resolving the enigma of Iquitos and Manaus: A modeling analysis of multiple COVID-19 epidemic waves in two Amazonian cities. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120(10): e2211422120. 
A. Le, A. A. King, F. M. G. Magpantay, A. Mesbahi, and P. Rohani (2021) The impact of infection-derived immunity on disease dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology 83(6): 61. 
C. Bretó, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2020) Panel data analysis via mechanistic models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 115(531): 1178–1188. 
F. M. G. Magpantay, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2019) Age-structure and transient dynamics in epidemiological systems. Journal of The Royal Society Interface 16(156): 20190151. 
A. van Leeuwen, S. A. Budischak, A. L. Graham, and C. E. Cressler (2019) Parasite resource manipulation drives bimodal variation in infection duration. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 286(1902): 20190456. 
S. A. Budischak, C. B. Hansen, Q. Caudron, R. Garnier, T. R. Kartzinel, I. Pelczer, C. E. Cressler, A. van Leeuwen, and A. L. Graham (2018) Feeding immunity: physiological and behavioral responses to infection and resource limitation. Frontiers in immunology 8:  1914. 
T. M. Luhring, J. M. Vavra, C. E. Cressler, and J. P. DeLong (2018) Predators modify the temperature dependence of life-history trade-offs. Ecology and Evolution 8(17): 8818–8830. 
S. A. Budischak, A. L. Graham, and C. E. Cressler (2018) Fueling defense; effects of resources on the evolution of tolerance to macroparasite infection. Frontiers in Immunology 59: In: Integrative and Comparative Biology  E26–E26. 
J. L. Hite and C. E. Cressler (2018) Resource-driven changes to host population stability alter the evolution of virulence and transmission. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series B 373(1745): 20170087. 
C. E. Cressler, S. Bengtson, and W. A. Nelson (2017) Unexpected nongenetic individual heterogeneity and trait covariance in Daphnia and its consequences for ecological and evolutionary dynamics. American Naturalist 190(1): E13–E27. 
F. M. Shearer, C. L. Moyes, D. M. Pigott, O. J. Brady, F. Marinho, A. Deshpande, J. Longbottom, A. J. Browne, M. U. G. Kraemer, K. M. O'Reilly, J. Hombach, S. Yactayo, V. E. M. de Araújo, A. A. da Nóbrega, J. F. Mosser, J. D. Stanaway, S. S. Lim, S. I. Hay, N. Golding, and R. C. Reiner, Jr. (2017) Global yellow fever vaccination coverage from 1970 to 2016: an adjusted retrospective analysis. Lancet Infectious Diseases 
A. T. Fojo, N. L. Stennis, A. S. Azman, E. A. Kendall, S. Shrestha, S. D. Ahuja, and D. W. Dowdy (2017) Current and future trends in tuberculosis incidence in New York City: a dynamic modelling analysis. Lancet Public Health 2(7): e323–e330. 
H. Arduin, M. Domenech de Cellès, D. Guillemot, L. Watier, and L. Opatowski (2017) An agent-based model simulation of influenza interactions at the host level: insight into the influenza-related burden of pneumococcal infections. BMC Infectious Diseases 17:  382. 
S. Shrestha, V. Chihota, R. G. White, A. D. Grant, G. J. Churchyard, and D. W. Dowdy (2017) Impact of targeted tuberculosis vaccination among mining population in South Africa: a model-based study. American Journal of Epidemiology 
F. M. G. Magpantay (2017) Vaccine impact in homogeneous and age-structured models. Journal of Mathematical Biology 
D. He, A. P. Y. Chiu, Q. Lin, and D. Yu (2017) Spatio-temporal patterns of proportions of influenza B cases. Scientific Reports 7:  40085. 
J. G. Walker, A. Hurford, J. Cable, A. R. Ellison, S. J. Price, and C. E. Cressler (2017) Host allometry influences the evolution of parasite host-generalism: theory and meta-analysis. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series B 372(1719): 20160089. 
G. M. Vazquez-Prokopec, T. A. Perkins, L. A. Waller, A. L. Lloyd, R. C. Reiner, T. W. Scott, and U. Kitron (2016) Coupled heterogeneities and their impact on parasite transmission and control. Trends in Parasitology 32:  356–367. 
R. C. Reiner, N. Achee, R. Barrera, T. R. Burkot, D. D. Chadee, G. J. Devine, T. Endy, D. Gubler, J. Hombach, I. Kleinschmidt, A. Lenhart, S. W. Lindsay, I. Longini, M. Mondy, A. C. Morrison, T. A. Perkins, G. Vazquez-Prokopec, P. Reiter, S. A. Ritchie, D. L. Smith, D. Strickman, and T. W. Scott (2016) Quantifying the epidemiological impact of vector control on dengue. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 10:  e0004588. 
Q. Lin, Z. Lin, A. P. Y. Chiu, and D. He (2016) Seasonality of influenza A(H7N9) virus in China—fitting simple epidemic models to human cases. PLoS ONE 11:  e0151333. 
D. He and D. J. D. Earn (2016) The cohort effect in childhood disease dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 13
D. Gao, Y. Lou, D. He, T. C. Porco, Y. Kuang, G. Chowell, and S. Ruan (2016) Prevention and control of Zika as a mosquito-borne and sexually transmitted disease: a mathematical modeling analysis. Scientific Reports 6:  28070. 
C. E. Cressler, D. V. McLeod, C. Rozins, J. van den Hoogen, and T. Day (2016) The adaptive evolution of virulence: a review of theoretical predictions and empirical tests. Parasitology 143(7): 915–930. 
K. M. Bakker, M. E. Martinez-Bakker, B. Helm, and T. J. Stevenson (2016) Digital epidemiology reveals global childhood disease seasonality and the effects of immunization. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113:  6689–6694. 
M. E. Martinez (2016) Preventing Zika virus infection during pregnancy using a seasonal window of opportunity for conception. PLoS Biology 14:  e1002520. 
C. J. E. Metcalf, A. L. Graham, M. Martinez-Bakker, and D. Z. Childs (2016) Opportunities and challenges of integral projection models for modelling host-parasite dynamics. Journal of Animal Ecology 85:  343–355. 
R. C. Reiner, D. L. Smith, and P. W. Gething (2015) Climate change, urbanization and disease: summer in the city dots. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 109:  171–172. 
N. L. Achee, F. Gould, T. A. Perkins, R. C. Reiner, A. C. Morrison, S. A. Ritchie, D. J. Gubler, R. Teyssou, and T. W. Scott (2015) A critical assessment of vector control for dengue prevention. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 9:  e0003655. 
R. C. Reiner, M. Geary, P. M. Atkinson, D. L. Smith, and P. W. Gething (2015) Seasonality of Plasmodium falciparum transmission: a systematic review. Malaria Journal 14:  343. 
R. C. Reiner, C. Guerra, M. J. Donnelly, T. Bousema, C. Drakeley, and D. L. Smith (2015) Estimating malaria transmission from humans to mosquitoes in a noisy landscape. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 12:  20150478. 
M. U. G. Kraemer, T. A. Perkins, D. A. T. Cummings, R. Zakar, S. I. Hay, D. L. Smith, and R. C. Reiner (2015) Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 12:  20150468. 
R. E. Howes, R. C. Reiner, K. E. Battle, J. Longbottom, B. Mappin, D. Ordanovich, A. J. Tatem, C. Drakeley, P. W. Gething, P. A. Zimmerman, D. L. Smith, and S. I. Hay (2015) Plasmodium vivax transmission in Africa. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 9:  e0004222. 
R. C. Reiner, A. Le Menach, S. Kunene, N. Ntshalintshali, M. S. Hsiang, T. A. Perkins, B. Greenhouse, A. J. Tatem, J. M. Cohen, and D. L. Smith (2015) Mapping residual transmission for malaria elimination. eLife 4
D. He, R. Lui, L. Wang, C. K. Tse, L. Yang, and L. Stone (2015) Global spatio-temporal patterns of influenza in the post-pandemic era. Scientific Reports 5:  11013. 
D. He, A. P. Y. Chiu, Q. Lin, and B. J. Cowling (2015) Differences in the seasonality of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus and influenza in the Middle East. International Journal of Infectious Diseases 40:  15–16. 
L. Yang, K. H. Chan, L. K. P. Suen, K. P. Chan, X. Wang, P. Cao, D. He, J. S. M. Peiris, and C. M. Wong (2015) Age-specific epidemic waves of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus in a subtropical city. Scientific Reports 5:  10390. 
C. E. Cressler, A. L. Graham, and T. Day (2015) Evolution of hosts paying manifold costs of defence. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 282:  20150065. 
M. Martinez-Bakker and B. Helm (2015) The influence of biological rhythms on host-parasite interactions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 30:  314–326. 
C. E. Cressler, M. A. Butler, and A. A. King (2015) Detecting adaptive evolution in phylogenetic comparative analysis using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. Systematic Biology 64(6): 953–968. 
R. C. Reiner, S. T. Stoddard, and T. W. Scott (2014) Socially structured human movement shapes dengue transmission despite the diffusive effect of mosquito dispersal. Epidemics 6:  30–36. 
D. L. Smith, T. A. Perkins, R. C. Reiner, C. M. Barker, T. Niu, L. F. Chaves, A. M. Ellis, D. B. George, A. Le Menach, J. R. C. Pulliam, D. Bisanzio, C. Buckee, C. Chiyaka, D. A. T. Cummings, A. J. Garcia, M. L. Gatton, P. W. Gething, D. M. Hartley, G. Johnston, E. Y. Klein, E. Michael, A. L. Lloyd, D. M. Pigott, W. K. Reisen, N. Ruktanonchai, B. K. Singh, J. Stoller, A. J. Tatem, U. Kitron, H. C. J. Godfray, J. M. Cohen, S. I. Hay, and T. W. Scott (2014) Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 108:  185–197. 
T. Caro, A. Izzo, R. C. Reiner, H. Walker, and T. Stankowich (2014) The function of zebra stripes. Nature Communications 5:  3535. 
T. A. Perkins, A. J. Garcia, V. A. Paz-Soldán, S. T. Stoddard, R. C. Reiner, G. Vazquez-Prokopec, D. Bisanzio, A. C. Morrison, E. S. Halsey, T. J. Kochel, D. L. Smith, U. Kitron, T. W. Scott, and A. J. Tatem (2014) Theory and data for simulating fine-scale human movement in an urban environment. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 11
S. T. Stoddard, H. J. Wearing, R. C. Reiner, A. C. Morrison, H. Astete, S. Vilcarromero, C. Alvarez, C. Ramal-Asayag, M. Sihuincha, C. Rocha, E. S. Halsey, T. W. Scott, T. J. Kochel, and B. M. Forshey (2014) Long-term and seasonal dynamics of dengue in Iquitos, Peru. PLoS neglected tropical diseases 8:  e3003. 
C. E. Cressler, W. A. Nelson, T. Day, and E. McCauley (2014) Disentangling the interaction among host resources, the immune system and pathogens. Ecology Letters 17(3): 284–293. 
C. E. Cressler, W. A. Nelson, T. Day, and E. McCauley (2014) Starvation reveals the cause of infection-induced castration and gigantism. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 281
S. T. Stoddard, B. M. Forshey, A. C. Morrison, V. A. Paz-Soldan, G. M. Vazquez-Prokopec, H. Astete, R. C. Reiner, S. Vilcarromero, J. P. Elder, E. S. Halsey, T. J. Kochel, U. Kitron, and T. W. Scott (2013) House-to-house human movement drives dengue virus transmission. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110:  994–999. 
R. C. Reiner, T. A. Perkins, C. M. Barker, T. Niu, L. F. Chaves, A. M. Ellis, D. B. George, A. Le Menach, J. R. C. Pulliam, D. Bisanzio, C. Buckee, C. Chiyaka, D. A. T. Cummings, A. J. Garcia, M. L. Gatton, P. W. Gething, D. M. Hartley, G. Johnston, E. Y. Klein, E. Michael, S. W. Lindsay, A. L. Lloyd, D. M. Pigott, W. K. Reisen, N. Ruktanonchai, B. K. Singh, A. J. Tatem, U. Kitron, S. I. Hay, T. W. Scott, and D. L. Smith (2013) A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970–2010. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 10:  20120921. 
D. He, J. Dushoff, R. Eftimie, and D. J. D. Earn (2013) Patterns of spread of influenza A in Canada. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 280:  20131174. 
D. He, J. Dushoff, T. Day, J. Ma, and D. J. D. Earn (2013) Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 280:  20131345. 
M. E. Martinez-Bakker, S. K. Sell, B. J. Swanson, B. P. Kelly, and D. A. Tallmon (2013) Combined genetic and telemetry data reveal high rates of gene flow, migration, and long-distance dispersal potential in Arctic ringed seals (Pusa hispida). PLoS ONE 8(10):(edited by N. J. Gemmell)  e77125. 
D. J. D. Earn, D. He, M. B. Loeb, K. Fonseca, B. E. Lee, and J. Dushoff (2012) Effects of school closure on incidence of pandemic influenza in Alberta, Canada. Annals of Internal Medicine 156(3): 173–181. 

© 2024 Aaron A. King
3038 Biological Sciences Building
1105 North University Avenue
Ann Arbor MI 48109-1085 USA