The King Laboratory
of Theoretical Ecology & Evolution
at the University of Michigan


Current and future trends in tuberculosis incidence in New York City: a dynamic modelling analysis

A. T. Fojo, N. L. Stennis, A. S. Azman, E. A. Kendall, S. Shrestha, S. D. Ahuja, and D. W. Dowdy
Lancet Public Health 2(7): e323–e330, 2017.

After steady decline since the 1990s, tuberculosis incidence in New York City and throughout the USA has plateaued. We aimed to explore the major drivers of the flattening of tuberculosis incidence in New York City and to project the future trajectory of the tuberculosis epidemic in the absence of any additional intervention.


The official version of the paper is here.  

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