Aaron A. King, Ph.D.

Professor of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology and Mathematics
University of Michigan

Selected Publications.

Abstract R. A. Smith, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2017) Infectious disease dynamics inferred from genetic data via sequential Monte Carlo. Molecular Biology and Evolution 34(8): 2065–2084.  DOI
Abstract E. L. Ionides, C. Breto, J. Park, R. A. Smith, and A. A. King (2017) Monte Carlo profile confidence intervals for dynamic systems. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 14: 20170126.  DOI
Abstract A. I. Bento, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2017) Maternal pertussis immunisation: clinical gains and epidemiological legacy. Eurosurveillance 22(15): 3.  DOI
Abstract P. P. Martinez, R. C. Reiner, B. A. Cash, X. Rodó, M. Shahjahan Mondal, M. Roy, M. Yunus, A. S. G. Faruque, S. Huq, A. A. King, and M. Pascual (2017) Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015–2016 El Niño: lessons learned. PLoS ONE 12: e0172355.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King, D. Nguyen, and E. L. Ionides (2016) Statistical inference for partially observed Markov processes via the R package pomp. Journal of Statistical Software 69(12): 1–43.  DOI
Abstract M. Domenech de Cellès, F. M. G. Magpantay, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2016) The pertussis enigma: reconciling epidemiology, immunology and evolution. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 283(1822): 20152309.  DOI
Abstract F. M. G. Magpantay, M. Domenech de Cellès, P. Rohani, and A. A. King (2016) Pertussis immunity and epidemiology: mode and duration of vaccine-induced immunity. Parasitology 143: 835–849.  DOI
Abstract T. Baracchini, A. A. King, M. J. Bouma, X. Rodó, E. Bertuzzo, and M. Pascual (2016) Seasonality in cholera dynamics: a rainfall-driven model explains the wide range of patterns in endemic areas. Advances in Water Resources  DOI
Abstract P. P. Martinez, A. A. King, M. Yunus, A. S. G. Faruque, and M. Pascual (2016) Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 113(15): 4092–4097.  DOI
Abstract J. Perez-Saez, A. A. King, A. Rinaldo, M. Yunus, A. S. Faruque, and M. Pascual (2016) Climate-driven endemic cholera is modulated by human mobility in a megacity. Advances in Water Resources  DOI
Abstract A. A. King, M. Domenech de Cellès, F. M. G. Magpantay, and P. Rohani (2015) Avoidable errors in the modelling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 282(1806): 20150347.  DOI
Abstract C. E. Cressler, M. A. Butler, and A. A. King (2015) Detecting adaptive evolution in phylogenetic comparative analysis using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. Systematic Biology 64(6): 953–968.  DOI
Abstract E. L. Ionides, D. Nguyen, Y. Atchadé, S. Stoev, and A. A. King (2015) Inference for dynamic and latent variable models via iterated, perturbed Bayes maps. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 112(3): 719–724.  DOI
Abstract M. Martinez-Bakker, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2015) Unraveling the transmission ecology of polio. PLoS Biology 13(6): e1002172.  DOI
Abstract S. Shrestha, O. N. Bjørnstad, and A. A. King (2014) Evolution of acuteness in pathogen metapopulations: conflicts between “classical” and invasion-persistence trade-offs. Theoretical Ecology 7(3): 299–311.  DOI
Abstract M. Domenech de Cellès, M. A. Riolo, F. M. G. Magpantay, P. Rohani, and A. A. King (2014) Epidemiological evidence for herd immunity induced by acellular pertussis vaccines. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 111(7): E716–E717.  DOI
Abstract F. Magpantay, M. Riolo, M. de Cellès, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2014) Epidemiological consequences of imperfect vaccines for immunizing infections. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 74: 1810–1830.  DOI
Abstract M. Martinez-Bakker, K. M. Bakker, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2014) Human birth seasonality: latitudinal gradient and interplay with childhood disease dynamics. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 281(1783): 20132438.  DOI
Abstract R. C. Reiner, Jr, S. T. Stoddard, B. M. Forshey, A. A. King, A. M. Ellis, A. L. Lloyd, K. C. Long, C. Rocha, S. Vilcarromero, H. Astete, I. Bazan, A. Lenhart, G. M. Vazquez-Prokopec, V. A. Paz-Soldan, P. J. McCall, U. Kitron, J. P. Elder, E. S. Halsey, A. C. Morrison, T. J. Kochel, and T. W. Scott (2014) Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 111(26): E2694–E2702.  DOI
Abstract J. S. Lavine, A. A. King, V. Andreasen, and O. N. Bjørnstad (2013) Immune boosting explains regime-shifts in prevaccine-era pertussis dynamics. PLoS ONE 8(8): e72086.  DOI
Abstract M. A. Riolo, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2013) Can vaccine legacy explain the British pertussis resurgence?. Vaccine 31(49): 5903–5908.  DOI
Abstract N. G. Reich, S. Shrestha, A. A. King, P. Rohani, J. Lessler, S. Kalayanarooj, I.-K. Yoon, R. V. Gibbons, D. S. Burke, and D. A. T. Cummings (2013) Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 10(86): 20130414.  DOI
Abstract R. C. Reiner, A. A. King, M. Emch, M. Yunus, A. S. G. Faruque, and M. Pascual (2012) Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 109(6): 2033–2036.  DOI
Abstract S. Shrestha, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2011) Statistical inference for multi-pathogen systems. PLoS Computational Biology 7(8): e1002135.  DOI
Abstract E. L. Ionides, A. Bhadra, Y. Atchadé, and A. A. King (2011) Iterated filtering. Annals of Statistics 39(3): 1776–1802.  DOI
Abstract J. S. Lavine, A. A. King, and O. N. Bjørnstad (2011) Natural immune boosting in pertussis dynamics and the potential for long-term vaccine failure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 108(17): 7259–7264.  DOI
Abstract D. He, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2010) Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 7: 271–283.  DOI
Abstract P. Rohani, X. Zhong, and A. A. King (2010) Contact network structure explains the changing epidemiology of pertussis. Science 330(6006): 982–985.  DOI
Abstract P. Rohani and A. A. King (2010) Never mind the length, feel the quality: the impact of long-term epidemiological data sets on theory, application and policy. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 25(10): 611–618.  DOI
Abstract J. L. Zelner, A. A. King, C. L. Moe, and J. N. S. Eisenberg (2010) How infections propagate after point-source outbreaks: an analysis of secondary norovirus transmission. Epidemiology 21(5): 711–718.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King, S. Shrestha, E. T. Harvill, and O. N. Bjørnstad (2009) Evolution of acute infections and the invasion-persistence trade-off. American Naturalist 173(4): 446–455.  DOI
Abstract C. Bretó, D. He, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2009) Time series analysis via mechanistic models. Annals of Applied Statistics 3(1): 319–348.  DOI
Abstract J. A. Scales, A. A. King, and M. A. Butler (2009) Running for your life or running for your dinner: what drives fiber-type evolution in lizard locomotor muscles?. American Naturalist 173(5): 543–553.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King, E. L. Ionides, M. Pascual, and M. J. Bouma (2008) Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics. Nature 454(7206): 877–880.  DOI
Abstract E. L. Ionides, C. Bretó, and A. A. King (2006) Inference for nonlinear dynamical systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 103(49): 18438–18443.  DOI
Abstract R. A. Desharnais, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, S. M. Henson, B. Dennis, and A. A. King (2006) Experimental support of the scaling rule for demographic stochasticity. Ecology Letters 9: 537–547.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, S. M. Henson, R. A. Desharnais, and B. Dennis (2004) Anatomy of a chaotic attractor: subtle model-predicted patterns revealed in population data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 101(1): 408–413.  DOI
Abstract M. A. Butler and A. A. King (2004) Phylogenetic comparative analysis: a modeling approach for adaptive evolution. American Naturalist 164: 683–695.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King and A. Hastings (2003) Spatial mechanisms for coexistence of species with a shared natural enemy. Theoretical Population Biology 64: 431–438.  DOI
Abstract S. M. Henson, A. A. King, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, B. Dennis, and R. A. Desharnais (2003) Explaining and predicting patterns in stochastic population systems. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 270: 1549–1553.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King and W. M. Schaffer (2001) The geometry of a population cycle: a mechanistic model of snowshoe hare demography. Ecology 82(3): 814–830.  DOI
Abstract S. M. Henson, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, R. A. Desharnais, B. Dennis, and A. A. King (2001) Lattice effects observed in chaotic dynamics of experimental populations. Science 294: 602–605.  DOI
Abstract A. A. King and W. M. Schaffer (1999) The rainbow bridge: Hamiltonian limits and resonance in predator-prey dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology 39: 439–469.  DOI

My ORCID is 0000-0001-6159-3207.


© 2017 Aaron A. King
2051 Kraus Natural Sciences Building
830 North University Avenue
Ann Arbor MI 48109-1048 USA