Aaron A. King, Ph.D.

Professor of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology and Mathematics
University of Michigan

Selected Publications.

R. A. Smith, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2017) Infectious disease dynamics inferred from genetic data via sequential Monte Carlo. Molecular Biology and Evolution 34(8): 2065–2084.  Abstract DOI
E. L. Ionides, C. Breto, J. Park, R. A. Smith, and A. A. King (2017) Monte Carlo profile confidence intervals for dynamic systems. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 14: 20170126.  Abstract DOI
A. I. Bento, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2017) Maternal pertussis immunisation: clinical gains and epidemiological legacy. Eurosurveillance 22(15): 3.  Abstract DOI
P. P. Martinez, R. C. Reiner, B. A. Cash, X. Rodó, M. Shahjahan Mondal, M. Roy, M. Yunus, A. S. G. Faruque, S. Huq, A. A. King, and M. Pascual (2017) Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015–2016 El Niño: lessons learned. PLoS ONE 12: e0172355.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King, D. Nguyen, and E. L. Ionides (2016) Statistical inference for partially observed Markov processes via the R package pomp. Journal of Statistical Software 69(12): 1–43.  Abstract DOI
M. Domenech de Cellès, F. M. G. Magpantay, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2016) The pertussis enigma: reconciling epidemiology, immunology and evolution. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 283(1822): 20152309.  Abstract DOI
F. M. G. Magpantay, M. Domenech de Cellès, P. Rohani, and A. A. King (2016) Pertussis immunity and epidemiology: mode and duration of vaccine-induced immunity. Parasitology 143: 835–849.  Abstract DOI
T. Baracchini, A. A. King, M. J. Bouma, X. Rodó, E. Bertuzzo, and M. Pascual (2016) Seasonality in cholera dynamics: a rainfall-driven model explains the wide range of patterns in endemic areas. Advances in Water Resources  Abstract DOI
P. P. Martinez, A. A. King, M. Yunus, A. S. G. Faruque, and M. Pascual (2016) Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 113(15): 4092–4097.  Abstract DOI
J. Perez-Saez, A. A. King, A. Rinaldo, M. Yunus, A. S. Faruque, and M. Pascual (2016) Climate-driven endemic cholera is modulated by human mobility in a megacity. Advances in Water Resources  Abstract DOI
A. A. King, M. Domenech de Cellès, F. M. G. Magpantay, and P. Rohani (2015) Avoidable errors in the modelling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 282(1806): 20150347.  Abstract DOI
C. E. Cressler, M. A. Butler, and A. A. King (2015) Detecting adaptive evolution in phylogenetic comparative analysis using the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. Systematic Biology 64(6): 953–968.  Abstract DOI
E. L. Ionides, D. Nguyen, Y. Atchadé, S. Stoev, and A. A. King (2015) Inference for dynamic and latent variable models via iterated, perturbed Bayes maps. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 112(3): 719–724.  Abstract DOI
M. Martinez-Bakker, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2015) Unraveling the transmission ecology of polio. PLoS Biology 13(6): e1002172.  Abstract DOI
S. Shrestha, O. N. Bjørnstad, and A. A. King (2014) Evolution of acuteness in pathogen metapopulations: conflicts between “classical” and invasion-persistence trade-offs. Theoretical Ecology 7(3): 299–311.  Abstract DOI
M. Domenech de Cellès, M. A. Riolo, F. M. G. Magpantay, P. Rohani, and A. A. King (2014) Epidemiological evidence for herd immunity induced by acellular pertussis vaccines. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 111(7): E716–E717.  Abstract DOI
F. Magpantay, M. Riolo, M. de Cellès, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2014) Epidemiological consequences of imperfect vaccines for immunizing infections. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 74: 1810–1830.  Abstract DOI
M. Martinez-Bakker, K. M. Bakker, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2014) Human birth seasonality: latitudinal gradient and interplay with childhood disease dynamics. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 281(1783): 20132438.  Abstract DOI
R. C. Reiner, Jr, S. T. Stoddard, B. M. Forshey, A. A. King, A. M. Ellis, A. L. Lloyd, K. C. Long, C. Rocha, S. Vilcarromero, H. Astete, I. Bazan, A. Lenhart, G. M. Vazquez-Prokopec, V. A. Paz-Soldan, P. J. McCall, U. Kitron, J. P. Elder, E. S. Halsey, A. C. Morrison, T. J. Kochel, and T. W. Scott (2014) Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 111(26): E2694–E2702.  Abstract DOI
J. S. Lavine, A. A. King, V. Andreasen, and O. N. Bjørnstad (2013) Immune boosting explains regime-shifts in prevaccine-era pertussis dynamics. PLoS ONE 8(8): e72086.  Abstract DOI
M. A. Riolo, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2013) Can vaccine legacy explain the British pertussis resurgence?. Vaccine 31(49): 5903–5908.  Abstract DOI
N. G. Reich, S. Shrestha, A. A. King, P. Rohani, J. Lessler, S. Kalayanarooj, I.-K. Yoon, R. V. Gibbons, D. S. Burke, and D. A. T. Cummings (2013) Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 10(86): 20130414.  Abstract DOI
R. C. Reiner, A. A. King, M. Emch, M. Yunus, A. S. G. Faruque, and M. Pascual (2012) Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 109(6): 2033–2036.  Abstract DOI
S. Shrestha, A. A. King, and P. Rohani (2011) Statistical inference for multi-pathogen systems. PLoS Computational Biology 7(8): e1002135.  Abstract DOI
E. L. Ionides, A. Bhadra, Y. Atchadé, and A. A. King (2011) Iterated filtering. Annals of Statistics 39(3): 1776–1802.  Abstract DOI
J. S. Lavine, A. A. King, and O. N. Bjørnstad (2011) Natural immune boosting in pertussis dynamics and the potential for long-term vaccine failure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 108(17): 7259–7264.  Abstract DOI
D. He, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2010) Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 7: 271–283.  Abstract DOI
P. Rohani, X. Zhong, and A. A. King (2010) Contact network structure explains the changing epidemiology of pertussis. Science 330(6006): 982–985.  Abstract DOI
P. Rohani and A. A. King (2010) Never mind the length, feel the quality: the impact of long-term epidemiological data sets on theory, application and policy. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 25(10): 611–618.  Abstract DOI
J. L. Zelner, A. A. King, C. L. Moe, and J. N. S. Eisenberg (2010) How infections propagate after point-source outbreaks: an analysis of secondary norovirus transmission. Epidemiology 21(5): 711–718.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King, S. Shrestha, E. T. Harvill, and O. N. Bjørnstad (2009) Evolution of acute infections and the invasion-persistence trade-off. American Naturalist 173(4): 446–455.  Abstract DOI
C. Bretó, D. He, E. L. Ionides, and A. A. King (2009) Time series analysis via mechanistic models. Annals of Applied Statistics 3(1): 319–348.  Abstract DOI
J. A. Scales, A. A. King, and M. A. Butler (2009) Running for your life or running for your dinner: what drives fiber-type evolution in lizard locomotor muscles?. American Naturalist 173(5): 543–553.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King, E. L. Ionides, M. Pascual, and M. J. Bouma (2008) Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics. Nature 454(7206): 877–880.  Abstract DOI
E. L. Ionides, C. Bretó, and A. A. King (2006) Inference for nonlinear dynamical systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 103(49): 18438–18443.  Abstract DOI
R. A. Desharnais, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, S. M. Henson, B. Dennis, and A. A. King (2006) Experimental support of the scaling rule for demographic stochasticity. Ecology Letters 9: 537–547.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, S. M. Henson, R. A. Desharnais, and B. Dennis (2004) Anatomy of a chaotic attractor: subtle model-predicted patterns revealed in population data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. 101(1): 408–413.  Abstract DOI
M. A. Butler and A. A. King (2004) Phylogenetic comparative analysis: a modeling approach for adaptive evolution. American Naturalist 164: 683–695.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King and A. Hastings (2003) Spatial mechanisms for coexistence of species with a shared natural enemy. Theoretical Population Biology 64: 431–438.  Abstract DOI
S. M. Henson, A. A. King, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, B. Dennis, and R. A. Desharnais (2003) Explaining and predicting patterns in stochastic population systems. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 270: 1549–1553.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King and W. M. Schaffer (2001) The geometry of a population cycle: a mechanistic model of snowshoe hare demography. Ecology 82(3): 814–830.  Abstract DOI
S. M. Henson, R. F. Costantino, J. M. Cushing, R. A. Desharnais, B. Dennis, and A. A. King (2001) Lattice effects observed in chaotic dynamics of experimental populations. Science 294: 602–605.  Abstract DOI
A. A. King and W. M. Schaffer (1999) The rainbow bridge: Hamiltonian limits and resonance in predator-prey dynamics. Journal of Mathematical Biology 39: 439–469.  Abstract DOI

My ORCID is 0000-0001-6159-3207.


© 2017 Aaron A. King
2051 Kraus Natural Sciences Building
830 North University Avenue
Ann Arbor MI 48109-1048 USA